Case Study · BFSI & Telecom

AI-Driven Churn Prediction & Revenue Upselling Platform

A national telecom operator · XGBoost + Random Forest · Customer Segmentation · ARPU Optimization

The challenge

Attrition with no early warning.

Rising customer attrition

Increasing churn in broadband prepaid services — customers migrating to competitors at growing rates.

No early warning for at-risk customers

No predictive mechanism to identify customers likely to churn before they actually leave the network.

Missed upselling opportunities

No data-driven model to identify optimal moments for offering upgrades and increasing average revenue per user.

Generic interventions — no segmentation

One-size-fits-all retention offers with no segmentation by behavior (Power/Mild/Low) or location (urban/rural).

What we built

Predictive churn & upsell models.

Churn prediction model

XGBoost + Random Forest on usage, recharge, network quality, and package data to predict at-risk customers.

Upselling model

Identifies optimal upgrade moments per customer segment — boosting conversion rates and ARPU.

Behavioral segmentation

Power / Mild / Low usage profiles with an urban-rural split for localized, personalized interventions.

Future roadmap

Upgrade/downgrade analysis, refined usage segmentation, and dynamic behavioral modeling for rural/urban populations.

Results

Quantified outcomes.

Real-Time

Churn predictions for targeted retention.

Higher ARPU

Upsell model drives revenue growth per user.

Personalized

Engagement via behavior + location segmentation.

XGBoost

ML models on usage, recharge, network and QoS data.

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